Choir — Know your runway. A written record for critical power infrastructure

Every asset needs a runway. Every runway needs a record.

We tell you what’s going to fail, when, and why — while there’s still time to do something about it.

Runway is how long an asset has before it crosses the line where you must act. The record is what stands behind that number: which asset, what is driving it, how sure we are, and what waiting costs. A transformer you cannot replace for three years is not a maintenance problem — it is a capacity problem, and the runway tells you whether you order the part now or watch the megawatts sit idle later.

SENTRIX AllianceChoir™ CorpSpearixLinkWorx
00 — RUNWAY AND RECORDWhat you actually get

A number you can plan around. A record you can defend.

This is one public reference cell from our PredictPowr™ evaluation, drawn exactly as the platform reports it. The runway is the number. The record is why you should believe it.

Runway · PredictPowr™NASA reference cell B0005 · public data

14 cycles of runway, called while the cell still looked fine.

At cycle 60 the forecast said the cell would cross end of life at cycle 74. It crossed at cycle 74.

cycle 0cycle 100
forecast made · cycle 60 end of life · cycle 74
life usedrunway windowensemble spread
14cycles
Warning before end of life
±0cycles
Off by, on this cell
2of 6
Cells that passed the ±10-cycle test

Lead time is in cycles because the cell sets the clock. The full record for all six cells — including the four that missed — is on the evidence page.

Open the live PredictPowr™ demo →
Record · the whyFrom the same board

Every runway carries its record.

What we sawCapacity fade, state of health 84.2% at cycle 60, declining steadilyThe one asset that is going, not the fleet average
When we called itEnd of runway at cycle 74 — 14 cycles of runway at the time of the callA runway window, never a runway date
How sureEnsemble spread at forecast end of life: 0.777–0.791Ensemble spread, the range the models disagree across
Why this guidanceBack off when continued operation costs more asset life than it earnsWindow set 2–8 cycles before forecast end of life, compensating for known late bias
Guidance · UptimePowr™

Then the runway becomes a choice.

Act nowReduce or decline dispatch inside the windowThe part is on the dock before the asset stops
Or waitKeep running and spend runway the revenue does not coverEither way, the call is written down so it can be audited later
How the decision layer works →
Why runway matters more than it used to
A large transformer fails today. There are two ways this goes.
No runway
100–150weeks
Capacity earning nothing while you wait for the part.
Runway known
0weeks
You ordered the part while the asset was still running. It swaps on a planned outage.

Same failure. Same part. Same price. The only thing that changed is whether the replacement was already on the dock.

Lead times, June 2026: generator step-up transformers 100–150+ weeks, substation transformers 85–110 weeks, medium-voltage switchgear 60–104 weeks — Terrapin Construction Group. PwC analysis reported by pv magazine USA in May 2026 put high-capacity transformer lead times at four years.

The two nouns

Runway is the number. The record is why it holds.

Asset runway is how long until a piece of equipment crosses an action threshold, together with what is driving it there and what waiting costs. The record is the what, when and why behind that number, scored against the asset’s actual degradation rather than a proxy.

A duration, a cause and a cost — and the paper trail for all three.

What is asset runway? →

01 — WHAT IT IS WORTHWhat, when and why — and what each one is worth

Three questions. Three different savings.

Every runway answers all three, because each one pays for itself in a different way.

What

Which asset is actually going, out of the hundreds that all look fine on a dashboard. You stop servicing and replacing equipment with years of life left in it, and you stop spreading the maintenance budget evenly across a fleet that is not degrading evenly.

Money: work you do not have to do

When

Long enough ahead to get in the procurement queue. With replacement lead times running two to four years on transformers and switchgear, this is the difference between a planned swap and megawatts sitting idle for the length of the queue.

Money: capacity that keeps earning

Why

What is driving the degradation — heat, cycling, load, a specific stress. That tells you whether you can fix it and keep the asset, whether changing how you run it buys you years, and whether the bill belongs to you or to the manufacturer.

Money: life extended, warranties claimed

Most systems answer none of these. Condition monitoring tells you an asset looks abnormal right now. Anomaly detection tells you a number moved. Neither gives you a runway, and neither leaves a record.

02 — THE PLATFORMSENTRIX™ · four products

Two products find the runway. Two decide what to do with it.

You buy the answer, not the architecture. Which asset, how long, what is driving it, and what it costs to wait.

See how the four fit together →
03 — HOW IT WORKSHow it works, in two sentences

One layer finds the runway. One decides what to do with it.

You do not have to care which is which. You care that the answer arrives as a window and a dollar figure, with the record attached.

Layer 2 · Decides

UptimePowr™

The commercial decision layer

Sits on top of the runway. Turns "how much life is left" into a cost-optimal action: intervene now, or wait — and here is the window. It weighs the price of planned maintenance against the far higher price of an unplanned failure, and writes the justification record for every call it makes.

Act now or wait? Here is the window, and here is what waiting costs.
▲ runway + ensemble spread flows up ▲
Layer 1 · Predicts

PredictPowr™

The runway engine

Reads the sensor signal from power-electronics assets and forecasts runway — not a black box. Where physics earns its place it is built into the model, so the system cannot predict the impossible. Outputs a window with its spread, not a single guess.

Like a fuel gauge for the asset — how much life is left, and how fast it is being spent.
STATE OF HEALTH vs CYCLE — ACTUAL vs FORECAST 80% state of health — end of life forecast anchored here actual forecast ensemble spread end-of-life line
The runway, against what actually happened.Redrawn from the PredictPowr™ evaluation view on public NASA reference cells. Ranges are ensemble spread; calibration in progress.
THE MISS — THE MODEL NEVER CALLED THE CROSSING 80% state of health — end of life actual crosses… …forecast never does actual forecast
And the cell where it missed.A retained reference cell where the actual state of health crossed the end-of-life line and the forecast never did. In the record, not buried.

04 — WHY BELIEVE ITThe record

Every runway we give you has a record.

You are being asked to spend money on a forecast. Here is what stands behind ours.

It traces to a dated report

Any figure we put in front of you comes from a specific study on a specific date, and we will show you the study. Nothing is rounded up on the way to the slide.

It says when it is unsure

On stale or incomplete data the system returns no runway and tells you why, rather than a number that looks confident and is not. You never act on a guess without knowing it was one.

We publish what did not work

Our evidence page includes the evaluations where a simpler model beat ours. If that is the kind of thing you want to read before signing something, it is all there.

See the full record →

05 — GETTING STARTEDWhat it takes to find out

You learn what your runway is worth before you buy anything.

The first step runs on data you already have. No hardware, no install, no procurement cycle.

Start with your own data

We run a read-only assessment on the history your equipment already produces and show you what the runway would have said. If it would not have caught anything, you have lost nothing but a conversation.

Weeks, not quarters

Nothing for IT to approve

When it does go live, the box sits at the asset and sends out over a private carrier connection. Your network never touches ours, which removes the review that stalls most industrial pilots.

No IT project

One small box per site

The whole platform runs on a single edge device at the asset, so there is no data centre build-out to buy before you get an answer, and no raw data leaving the site.

Software first, hardware later

06 — BY SECTORBy sector

The failure that costs you is specific. So is the runway.

One engine underneath, pointed at the asset that would actually hurt you.

FlagshipData centers

The outage you did not schedule is the one that costs seven figures.

The money · unplanned downtime

One in five operators said their last major outage cost over a million dollars, and power equipment is the leading cause. We forecast the whole power path — grid to transformer to UPS to battery — so the swap lands on a planned outage instead of a Tuesday.

Explore data centers
Battery storage · BESS

Your warranty is worth money. Most of it goes unclaimed.

The money · degradation & warranty

A grid-scale battery is projected to lose 20 to 30% of its capacity in its first decade, and the number your BMS reports can be off by as much as 8%. We tell you which packs are actually degrading, in time to claim against the warranty rather than absorb it.

Explore battery fleets
See all four sectors →

07 — THE ALLIANCEPartners

Three companies. One integrated stack.

The runway only holds if trustworthy data reaches it. Our partners get that data off brownfield and secured sites without rebuilding your network.

Prediction & IP

Choir™ Corp

The runway engine — the right technique per asset class, turned into dated, defensible forecasts with the misses published.

The SENTRIX™ engine
Sensor hardware

Spearix

EMI-hardened WirelessHART sensing that captures vibration, thermal and pressure signals at the resolution the models require.

20kHz WirelessHART
Connectivity

LinkWorx

Cellular backhaul over a private carrier APN — traffic never touches the public internet, and your network never touches ours.

Private-APN cellular
About the Alliance →

Know your runway. Keep the record.

A read-only assessment proves the runway on your own data before any hardware conversation. You see the record; you decide what it is worth.

Software-first · no raw data leaves your network · every number traces to a dated report